L’École des cotes

Falkenbergs FF v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 0–3 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 34.47%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.495%
Kelly -0.762%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.90%34.70%34.53%37.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.612.622.8642.02%38.31%38.17%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.95%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.588%
Kelly +0.925%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.24%36.67%37.02%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.522.7543.48%39.50%39.68%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.58%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.834%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.50%28.63%28.46%30.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.18%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:41
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.07%EV -11.41%E -4.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV +0.879%E +0.322%K +0.508%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:41
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -16.24%E -6.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -17.96%E -7.55%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:56
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:45
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:49
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:45
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:45
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.75%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 09:44
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 09:44
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.24%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.25%E -2.89%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 16:45
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 10:45
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -8.73%E -3.53%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 14:21
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:55
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:45
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:00
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:50
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 16:45
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:56
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:50
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.05%E -5.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-13 08:25
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -17.69%E -6.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50