La escuela de los momiosFalkenbergs FF v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkenbergs FF (Local)
Predicción 34.47%2.90momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.495%
Kelly -0.762%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.90%34.70%34.53%37.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.612.622.8642.02%38.31%38.17%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 36.95%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.588%
Kelly +0.925%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.24%36.67%37.02%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.522.7543.48%39.50%39.68%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.58%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.50%28.63%28.46%30.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.18%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:41 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.07%EV -11.41%E -4.44%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV +0.879%E +0.322%K +0.508%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:41 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -16.24%E -6.68%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -17.96%E -7.55%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 16:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 16:56 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 16:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.75%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 09:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.24%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.25%E -2.89%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-13 10:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -8.73%E -3.53%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 14:21 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-13 16:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 16:56 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.05%E -5.06%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-13 08:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -17.69%E -6.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-13 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 16:50 |