مدرسة الاحتمالات

Falkenbergs FF v Varbergs BoIS

البداية: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Falkenbergs FF 0–3 Varbergs BoIS

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Falkenbergs FF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.47%2.90السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.495%
Kelly -0.762%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.90%34.70%34.53%37.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.612.622.8642.02%38.31%38.17%34.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Varbergs BoIS (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.95%2.71السعر العادل
EV +1.62%
الأفضلية +0.588%
Kelly +0.925%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.24%36.67%37.02%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.532.522.7543.48%39.50%39.68%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.58%3.50السعر العادل
EV -2.83%
الأفضلية -0.834%
Kelly -1.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.50%28.63%28.46%30.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.18%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:41
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV +1.62%E +0.588%K +0.925%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.07%EV -11.41%E -4.44%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.90%EV +0.879%E +0.322%K +0.508%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:41
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.35%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:40
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -16.24%E -6.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -2.08%E -0.784%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -17.96%E -7.55%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 16:40
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36%EV -1.42%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:56
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:45
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:49
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.40%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 16:45
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:45
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.48%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.75%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -5.77%E -2.26%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:55
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 09:44
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.62%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 09:44
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.24%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.25%E -2.89%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 16:45
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 10:45
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -8.73%E -3.53%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.83%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 14:21
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:55
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.12%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:45
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -6.93%E -2.57%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:00
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.21%E -1.89%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 16:50
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.34%E -3.55%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 16:45
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.47%E -3.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:35
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:56
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.66%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:50
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.55%E -2.67%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 16:50
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.69%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.32%E -4.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.83%E -5.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -12.05%E -5.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.41%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-13 08:25
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -14.27%E -4.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -10.38%E -3.99%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -15.01%E -6.53%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -17.69%E -6.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-13 16:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-05-13 16:50