Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF v Norrby IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Norrby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.20%47.29%46.67%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.901.952.0760.61%52.61%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV +13.57%
Edge +3.23%
Kelly +4.24%
Growth +0.575%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%26.60%27.07%28.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.404.2032.26%28.13%29.41%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV +0.751%
Edge +0.195%
Kelly +0.263%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%26.11%26.26%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.503.8530.77%28.27%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 46.79%; Norrby IF (Visit): 27.04%; Draw: 26.17%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -21.39%E -12.73%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV +4.11%E +1.07%K +1.44%G +0.059%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.30%EV -8.29%E -4.23%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -9.98%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -3.19%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.44%E -7.26%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 14:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -7.52%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:45
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 14:22
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.50%E -6.69%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:49
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-08-15 14:55