Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF v Norrby IF

2026-08-15 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prediction 52.42%1.91fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.40%52.42%52.42%53.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.711.8060.61%57.84%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%22.94%22.94%24.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.104.2526.67%24.61%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%24.64%24.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.713.703.8028.17%26.92%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 52.42%; Norrby IF (Visit): 22.94%; Draw: 24.64%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.25, with an expected value of -2.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:09
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 15:10
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -5.65%E -3.14%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.60%EV -10.07%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 15:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.50%E -0.589%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.50%E -0.589%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.50%E -0.589%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.50%E -0.589%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:09
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.27%E -4.73%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.97%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.59%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 15:09
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -10.37%E -6.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -10.37%E -6.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:09
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -10.37%E -6.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -10.37%E -6.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -10.37%E -6.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:09
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -10.37%E -6.06%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -5.95%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -11.94%E -7.11%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -11.29%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -13.51%E -8.19%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -13.51%E -8.19%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -9.39%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -12.52%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.