Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkenbergs FF v Norrby IF

Início: 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Norrby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Previsão 46.79%2.14odd justa
EV -3.14%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.20%47.29%46.67%53.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.901.952.0760.61%52.61%51.28%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Norrby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 27.04%3.70odd justa
EV +13.57%
Vantagem +3.23%
Kelly +4.24%
Crescimento +0.575%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.26%26.60%27.07%28.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.563.404.2032.26%28.13%29.41%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.17%3.82odd justa
EV +0.751%
Vantagem +0.195%
Kelly +0.263%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.29%26.11%26.26%27.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.543.503.8530.77%28.27%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 46.79%; Norrby IF (Visitante): 27.04%; Empate: 26.17%. Para Norrby IF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -21.39%E -12.73%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV +4.11%E +1.07%K +1.44%G +0.059%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.30%EV -8.29%E -4.23%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -9.98%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -3.19%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.44%E -7.26%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 14:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -7.52%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:45
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 14:22
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.50%E -6.69%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:49
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-08-15 14:55