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Falkenbergs FF v Norrby IF
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Falkenbergs FF (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.79%2.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.14%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -2.94%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.07
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.20%47.29%46.67%53.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.901.952.0760.61%52.61%51.28%48.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Norrby IF (Гости)
Прогноз 27.04%3.70справедливый коэффициент
EV +13.57%
Преимущество +3.23%
Kelly +4.24%
Рост +0.575%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.26%26.60%27.07%28.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.563.404.2032.26%28.13%29.41%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.17%3.82справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.751%
Преимущество +0.195%
Kelly +0.263%
Рост +0.002%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.29%26.11%26.26%27.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.543.503.8530.77%28.27%28.57%25.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Falkenbergs FF (Хозяева): 46.79%; Norrby IF (Гости): 27.04%; Ничья: 26.17%. Для исхода «Norrby IF (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.70. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +13.57%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -21.39%E -12.73%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV +4.11%E +1.07%K +1.44%G +0.059% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.30%EV -8.29%E -4.23%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -9.98%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -3.19%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.44%E -7.26%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -7.52%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 14:22 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 14:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.50%E -6.69%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |