Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF v Norrby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Norrby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 46.79%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.20%47.29%46.67%53.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.901.952.0760.61%52.61%51.28%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Norrby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV +13.57%
Avantage +3.23%
Kelly +4.24%
Croissance +0.575%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.26%26.60%27.07%28.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.404.2032.26%28.13%29.41%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.17%3.82cote équitable
EV +0.751%
Avantage +0.195%
Kelly +0.263%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%26.11%26.26%27.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.543.503.8530.77%28.27%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Falkenbergs FF (Local) : 46.79% ; Norrby IF (Visiteur) : 27.04% ; Match nul : 26.17%. Pour Norrby IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.70. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +13.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -18.12%E -10.35%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +13.57%E +3.23%K +4.24%G +0.575%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV +0.751%E +0.195%K +0.263%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.92%EV -19.99%E -11.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.17%E -0.858%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -21.39%E -12.73%K -31.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV +8.16%E +2.04%K +2.72%G +0.222%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -22.80%E -13.82%K -35.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV +5.46%E +1.40%K +1.88%G +0.103%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV +4.11%E +1.07%K +1.44%G +0.059%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.30%EV -8.29%E -4.23%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -9.98%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -3.19%E -0.892%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.44%E -7.26%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 14:44
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.31%EV -7.52%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.48%E -2.71%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:45
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.95%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 14:22
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:49
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.63%E -5.57%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.64%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-15 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -12.50%E -6.69%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:49
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-08-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-08-15 14:55