Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.29
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 42.91%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 30.23%; Draw: 26.87%. For Falkenbergs FF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -1.74%E -0.761%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.91%EV -3.58%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -6.46%E -2.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 14:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 11:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 09:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -11.18%E -5.40%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.37%E -5.49%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |