La scuola delle quote

Falkenbergs FF v IFK Värnamo

Inizio: 2026-05-23 15:00 UTC

Finale: Falkenbergs FF 3–1 IFK Värnamo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Casa)

Previsione 42.91%2.33quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.761%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.44%42.96%42.93%45.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.142.152.2950.00%46.76%46.51%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Värnamo (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.23%3.31quota equa
EV -3.28%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.24%30.19%30.21%31.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.89%32.79%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.87%3.72quota equa
EV -3.28%
Vantaggio -0.911%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.80%26.85%26.86%27.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.413.453.6031.25%29.36%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -1.74%E -0.761%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 12:39
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.91%EV -3.58%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 08:19
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 08:19
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 08:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 08:19
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 09:09
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 08:59
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -6.46%E -2.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:39
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:40
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:39
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 14:48
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 11:08
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 09:08
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 09:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 11:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 14:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 08:19
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:09
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:09
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 11:29
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 14:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 13:59
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 11:29
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -11.18%E -5.40%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 14:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 11:29
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 11:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 08:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 09:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.37%E -5.49%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-23 12:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:30
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:30