L’École des cotes

Falkenbergs FF v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 15:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 3–1 IFK Värnamo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 42.91%2.33cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.44%42.96%42.93%45.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2950.00%46.76%46.51%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.23%3.31cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.24%30.19%30.21%31.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.89%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.87%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.911%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.80%26.85%26.86%27.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.453.6031.25%29.36%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -1.74%E -0.761%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 12:39
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.91%EV -3.58%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 08:19
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 08:19
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 08:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 08:19
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 09:09
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 08:59
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -6.46%E -2.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:39
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:40
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 14:39
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 14:48
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 11:08
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 09:08
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 09:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 11:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 14:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 08:19
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:09
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 13:09
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 14:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 11:29
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 14:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 13:59
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 11:29
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -11.18%E -5.40%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 14:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 11:29
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 11:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 08:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 09:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.37%E -5.49%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-23 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:30
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-23 14:30