La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Falkenbergs FF v IFK Värnamo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Falkenbergs FF (Local)
Predicción 42.91%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.761%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.44%42.96%42.93%45.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2950.00%46.76%46.51%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Värnamo (Visitante)
Predicción 30.23%3.31momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%30.19%30.21%31.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.89%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.87%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -0.911%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%26.85%26.86%27.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.413.453.6031.25%29.36%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.52%EV -1.74%E -0.761%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.91%EV -3.58%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.43%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -4.75%E -2.14%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 08:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 09:09 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.60%E -2.55%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -6.46%E -2.96%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.31%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -6.89%E -3.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 14:48 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 11:08 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 09:08 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 09:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 11:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 14:00 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -13.25%E -4.62%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:10 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -7.75%E -3.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -14.03%E -4.38%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-23 13:09 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:39 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -9.04%E -4.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.30%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.28%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-23 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -11.18%E -5.40%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.81%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.00%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.32%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.97%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.35%E -4.26%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-23 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -12.04%E -5.87%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -12.95%E -4.50%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.19%E -7.09%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.37%E -5.49%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 14:30 |