Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örgryte IS v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 13:01 UTC

Final: Örgryte IS 3–4 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prediction 36.02%2.78fair odd
EV -0.956%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%35.93%36.17%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.7542.55%39.14%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.966%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.26%37.58%37.41%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.462.452.6043.86%40.62%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.49%3.78fair odd
EV +0.654%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.234%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%26.48%26.42%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.8030.77%28.71%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 36.02%; AIK (Visit): 37.50%; Draw: 26.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.654%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.81%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.52%EV -2.51%E -0.966%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +0.654%E +0.172%K +0.234%G +0.002%2.5%2026-08-08 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.81%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.52%EV -2.51%E -0.966%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +0.654%E +0.172%K +0.234%G +0.002%2.5%2026-08-08 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.81%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.52%EV -2.51%E -0.966%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.67%EV +0.654%E +0.172%K +0.234%G +0.002%2.5%2026-08-08 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.54%EV -2.76%E -1.02%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.23%EV -5.89%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -3.05%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.956%E -0.348%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.93%EV -7.76%E -3.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -3.32%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.16%EV -4.20%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%EV -3.26%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.16%EV -4.20%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%EV -3.26%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 12:45
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.16%EV -4.20%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%EV -3.26%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -7.01%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -7.01%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 12:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.64%E -2.15%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 12:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 12:09
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -8.88%E -3.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 12:54
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.97%EV -5.28%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.69%EV -5.89%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.35%EV -4.91%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 12:14
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.39%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 12:13
Bovada🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.81%EV -6.63%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 12:54
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -4.92%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.81%EV -6.63%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.51%E -0.966%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.39%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 12:09
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.56%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.26%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:45
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.08%E -2.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.51%E -2.19%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.65%EV -5.64%E -2.15%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.01%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.26%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 09:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:45
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 12:48
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 12:13
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -10.68%E -4.31%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.88%EV -10.76%E -4.52%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 12:54
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -5.28%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.01%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -8.35%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:54
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.21%EV -11.76%E -4.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.08%EV -12.63%E -5.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.21%EV -11.76%E -4.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.08%EV -12.63%E -5.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:54
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.36%E -2.45%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.26%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 12:00
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 12:49
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -10.68%E -4.31%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.60%EV -10.76%E -4.52%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.76%E -4.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 12:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.59%EV -8.88%E -3.51%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 12:33
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.26%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.26%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.26%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.26%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:09
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.16%E -3.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.76%E -4.52%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 12:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -9.96%E -3.98%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.01%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 12:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.14%EV -14.28%E -6.00%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.40%EV -13.76%E -5.98%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-08 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.31%EV -15.36%E -6.54%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.43%EV -14.51%E -6.36%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.26%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-08 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-08-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-08-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-08 12:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-08-08 12:50

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