Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örgryte IS v AIK

2026-08-08 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Previsão 21.50%4.65odd justa
EV +1.07%
Vantagem +0.227%
Kelly +0.289%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.26%21.42%21.52%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.274.304.7027.03%23.41%23.26%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

AIK (Visitante)

Previsão 54.33%1.84odd justa
EV -3.84%
Vantagem -2.17%
Kelly -4.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.78%54.36%54.32%56.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.691.7762.50%59.45%59.35%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.17%4.14odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -0.830%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.00%24.21%24.16%25.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.773.754.0029.41%26.51%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Örgryte IS (Local): 21.50%; AIK (Visitante): 54.33%; Empate: 24.17%. Para Örgryte IS (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.65. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.70, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +1.07%E +0.227%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 13:35
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +1.07%E +0.227%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 13:34
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +1.07%E +0.227%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 13:35
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.08%E -0.235%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:35
NordicBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.08%E -0.235%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:34
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.23%E -0.718%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:35
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:34
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -9.82%E -5.91%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 16:54
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 16:55
1xBet4.36I 22.94%NM 21.49%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -4.53%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 20:09
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 13:34
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:55
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -11.99%E -7.40%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:55
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 13:10
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.95%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:59
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.95%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:59
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 13:35
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 13:35
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 13:05
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 13:05
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.62%EV -12.91%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.39%EV -12.54%E -7.79%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-01 13:05
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 18:00
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -13.08%E -8.17%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -16.61%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-01 13:35
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -15.06%E -3.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -11.99%E -7.40%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 13:10
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -16.13%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -13.08%E -8.17%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-01 16:55
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.49%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.11%EV -13.08%E -8.17%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-01 13:10
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.78%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-01 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%13.7%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 13:50