Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örgryte IS v AIK

2026-08-08 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prévision 21.50%4.65cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.227%
Kelly +0.289%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.26%21.42%21.52%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.274.304.7027.03%23.41%23.26%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AIK (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.33%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -4.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.78%54.36%54.32%56.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.691.7762.50%59.45%59.35%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.17%4.14cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -0.830%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.00%24.21%24.16%25.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.773.754.0029.41%26.51%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Örgryte IS (Local) : 21.50% ; AIK (Visiteur) : 54.33% ; Match nul : 24.17%. Pour Örgryte IS (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.65. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.70, pour une espérance positive de +1.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +1.07%E +0.227%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 13:35
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +1.07%E +0.227%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 13:34
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +1.07%E +0.227%K +0.289%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-01 13:35
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.08%E -0.235%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:35
NordicBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -1.08%E -0.235%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:34
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.23%E -0.718%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:35
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:34
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -9.82%E -5.91%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 16:54
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 16:55
1xBet4.36I 22.94%NM 21.49%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -4.53%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 20:09
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 13:34
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:55
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -11.99%E -7.40%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:55
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 13:10
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:05
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.95%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:59
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.58%EV -5.47%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.95%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:59
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 13:35
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 13:35
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 13:05
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 13:05
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.62%EV -12.91%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.39%EV -12.54%E -7.79%K -20.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-01 13:05
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 18:00
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.65%EV -13.08%E -8.17%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -16.61%E -4.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-01 13:35
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -15.06%E -3.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.29%EV -11.99%E -7.40%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 13:10
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -16.13%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -13.08%E -8.17%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-01 16:55
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.49%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.11%EV -13.08%E -8.17%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-01 13:10
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.78%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.82%E -5.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-01 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%13.7%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 13:50