The School of Odds
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Mjällby AIF v IFK Goteborg

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 46.37%2.16fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%46.31%46.46%48.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.961.982.0554.95%50.98%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Visit)

Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV +3.94%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%27.71%27.87%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.333.7533.33%29.68%30.03%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.753%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.79%25.98%25.67%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.553.7530.77%28.45%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mjällby AIF (Local): 46.37%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 27.72%; Draw: 25.91%. For IFK Goteborg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +3.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -6.33%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.94%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.83%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -6.33%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.94%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.83%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -6.33%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.94%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.83%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 20:50
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:50
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.54%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 20:50
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 20:50
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.13%EV -7.70%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 02:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 14:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.95%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.61%EV -11.86%E -3.73%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 14:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -15.61%E -8.58%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-31 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.53%EV -13.75%E -7.39%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.38%EV -15.46%E -5.07%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.09%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -16.85%E -5.62%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -15.78%E -4.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-31 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%13.8%2026-08-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-09-01 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-09-01 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-09-01 02:50