Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mjällby AIF v IFK Goteborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC

Score final : Mjällby AIF 1–4 IFK Goteborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 39.70%2.52cote équitable
EV -0.739%
Avantage -0.296%
Kelly -0.493%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.00%39.77%39.60%42.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.302.5046.51%43.28%43.48%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.14%3.02cote équitable
EV +1.09%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.530%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.47%33.11%33.18%34.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.0538.46%35.75%35.71%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -0.866%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.71%27.11%27.21%28.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.403.403.6030.77%29.41%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mjällby AIF (Local) : 39.70% ; IFK Goteborg (Visiteur) : 33.14% ; Match nul : 27.15%. Pour IFK Goteborg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.02. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +1.09%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +1.09%E +0.356%K +0.530%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 16:40
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -9.47%E -4.16%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.81%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.04%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 09:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 08:00
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -14.64%E -6.81%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.61%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.40%EV -4.88%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.52%EV -7.09%E -3.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.15%EV -5.21%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:50
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 08:03
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.54%E -2.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.54%E -2.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:50
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 08:00
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -0.739%E -0.296%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:05
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -11.46%E -5.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.17%E -4.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.17%E -4.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.17%E -5.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.17%E -5.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -13.83%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.64%E -6.81%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.83%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-07 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.54%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-09-07 16:55