Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v IFK Goteborg

Início: 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 1–4 IFK Goteborg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 39.70%2.52odd justa
EV -0.739%
Vantagem -0.296%
Kelly -0.493%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.00%39.77%39.60%42.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.312.302.5046.51%43.28%43.48%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Goteborg (Visitante)

Previsão 33.14%3.02odd justa
EV +1.09%
Vantagem +0.356%
Kelly +0.530%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.47%33.11%33.18%34.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.803.0538.46%35.75%35.71%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.15%3.68odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.625%
Kelly -0.866%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.71%27.11%27.21%28.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.403.403.6030.77%29.41%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mjällby AIF (Local): 39.70%; IFK Goteborg (Visitante): 33.14%; Empate: 27.15%. Para IFK Goteborg (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.02. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV +1.09%E +0.356%K +0.530%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.571%E -0.190%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 16:40
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%EV -9.47%E -4.16%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.81%EV -2.23%E -0.755%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.04%EV -5.78%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 09:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 08:00
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -14.64%E -6.81%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 08:00
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.61%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.40%EV -4.88%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.52%EV -7.09%E -3.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.15%EV -5.21%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:50
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.92%E -1.62%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.89%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 08:03
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.54%E -1.94%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.54%E -2.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -6.54%E -2.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:50
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.20%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 08:00
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -0.739%E -0.296%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 08:05
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -11.46%E -5.14%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -8.86%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.67%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.17%E -4.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -12.17%E -4.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.17%E -5.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.17%E -5.02%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -13.83%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.64%E -6.81%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.83%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-07 16:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.54%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-09-07 16:55