StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mjällby AIF v IFK Goteborg

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (7 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mjällby AIF (Hemma)

Prognos 46.37%2.16rättvist odds
EV -4.94%
Fördel -2.41%
Kelly -4.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.44%46.31%46.46%48.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.821.961.982.0554.95%50.98%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Borta)

Prognos 27.72%3.61rättvist odds
EV +3.94%
Fördel +1.05%
Kelly +1.43%
Tillväxt +0.056%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.84%27.71%27.87%29.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.373.333.7533.33%29.68%30.03%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.91%3.86rättvist odds
EV -2.83%
Fördel -0.753%
Kelly -1.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.79%25.98%25.67%26.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.523.553.7530.77%28.45%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Mjällby AIF (Hemma): 46.37%; IFK Goteborg (Borta): 27.72%; Oavgjort: 25.91%. För IFK Goteborg (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.61. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.75, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.94%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -6.33%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.94%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.83%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -6.33%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.94%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.83%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -6.33%E -3.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +3.94%E +1.05%K +1.43%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -2.83%E -0.753%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 20:50
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -10.04%E -5.18%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -0.219%E -0.061%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:50
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.54%EV -12.36%E -6.54%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -4.38%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -5.76%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 20:50
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 20:50
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -5.87%E -2.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.13%EV -7.70%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -5.68%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 02:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.53%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 14:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.94%E -2.41%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.95%EV -13.29%E -7.11%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.61%EV -11.86%E -3.73%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 14:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.26%E -3.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -15.61%E -8.58%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -14.08%E -4.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-31 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.53%EV -13.75%E -7.39%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.38%EV -15.46%E -5.07%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.09%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -9.58%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -16.85%E -5.62%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -15.78%E -4.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-31 14:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%13.8%2026-08-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-09-01 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-09-01 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.76%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.12%184.8%2026-09-01 02:50