Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF v IF Elfsborg

2026-08-08 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 46.72%2.14fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.67%46.60%46.76%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.992.0554.64%50.86%50.25%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 25.87%3.87fair odd
EV -0.401%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.02%25.84%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.8532.26%28.47%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.38%27.40%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mjällby AIF (Local): 46.72%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 25.87%; Draw: 27.41%. For IF Elfsborg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -0.401%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -0.401%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.363%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 15:34
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -0.401%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.363%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 15:34
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -0.401%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.363%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 15:34
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.17%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.57%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.27%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 17:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:59
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.25%EV -5.69%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:43
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 17:35
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 17:35
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 17:49
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 17:34
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:23
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.34%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 16:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:34
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 17:49
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:34
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:35
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:35
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:33
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 18:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 16:23
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -19.80%E -6.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-01 16:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.84%E -5.10%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:35
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -10.31%E -5.37%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-01 15:35
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-01 15:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.18%E -6.48%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.18%E -6.48%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.43%EV -13.11%E -7.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.57%EV -15.92%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 17:50
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -14.51%E -7.93%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-01 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%13.7%2026-08-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35