Language:English
Mjällby AIF v IF Elfsborg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mjällby AIF (Local)
Prediction 33.33%3.00fair odd
EV -0.023%
Edge -0.008%
Kelly -0.011%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%33.41%33.27%35.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.753.0040.00%36.32%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Elfsborg (Visit)
Prediction 37.27%2.68fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.48%37.36%37.28%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.462.6043.48%40.44%40.57%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%29.23%29.45%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.153.3534.48%31.97%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 33.33%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 37.27%; Draw: 29.41%. For Mjällby AIF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.001. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.000, with an expected value of -0.023%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -0.023%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 15:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -2.69%E -0.921%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.21%EV -3.85%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -2.69%E -0.921%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.37%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.96%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.09%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 15:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.92%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -9.07%E -3.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.02%E -2.14%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.08%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.02%E -2.14%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.08%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.96%E -0.897%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 15:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.27%EV -9.72%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 15:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -12.35%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.93%EV -9.44%E -3.88%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 15:22 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -12.35%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.04%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.15%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.30%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.30%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -16.69%E -6.67%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.28%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-08 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.91%EV -16.69%E -6.67%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.86%EV -14.28%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.23%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-08-08 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 15:25 |
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