Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v IF Elfsborg

Início: 2026-08-08 15:30 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 0–1 IF Elfsborg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 33.33%3.00odd justa
EV -0.023%
Vantagem -0.008%
Kelly -0.011%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.92%33.41%33.27%35.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.752.753.0040.00%36.32%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IF Elfsborg (Visitante)

Previsão 37.27%2.68odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.48%37.36%37.28%38.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.472.462.6043.48%40.44%40.57%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.41%3.40odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.445%
Kelly -0.634%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%29.23%29.45%30.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.133.153.3534.48%31.97%31.75%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mjällby AIF (Local): 33.33%; IF Elfsborg (Visitante): 37.27%; Empate: 29.41%. Para Mjällby AIF (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.001. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.000, com valor esperado de -0.023%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -0.023%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 15:28
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -2.69%E -0.921%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.21%EV -3.85%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 15:29
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -2.69%E -0.921%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.37%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 15:25
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.96%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.09%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 15:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:24
BetUS🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:29
BetAnything🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:24
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.92%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -9.07%E -3.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.02%E -2.14%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.08%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:24
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.02%E -2.14%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.08%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:24
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:29
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:10
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:24
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.96%E -0.897%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:24
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:10
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:29
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:28
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 15:29
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 15:19
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 15:29
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:24
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:24
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.27%EV -9.72%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 15:28
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -12.35%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.93%EV -9.44%E -3.88%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:22
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -12.35%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.04%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.15%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:24
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.30%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.30%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 15:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -16.69%E -6.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.28%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.91%EV -16.69%E -6.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.86%EV -14.28%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.23%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-08 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-08-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-08-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-08-08 15:15
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-08 15:25
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-08 15:25