Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v IF Elfsborg

2026-08-08 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 46.72%2.14odd justa
EV -4.23%
Vantagem -2.07%
Kelly -4.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.67%46.60%46.76%47.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.971.992.0554.64%50.86%50.25%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IF Elfsborg (Visitante)

Previsão 25.87%3.87odd justa
EV -0.401%
Vantagem -0.104%
Kelly -0.141%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%26.02%25.84%28.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.513.503.8532.26%28.47%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.41%3.65odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.503%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.24%27.38%27.40%28.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Mjällby AIF (Local): 46.72%; IF Elfsborg (Visitante): 25.87%; Empate: 27.41%. Para IF Elfsborg (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.87. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.85, com valor esperado de -0.401%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -0.401%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.363%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 15:34
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -0.401%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.363%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 15:34
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.58%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%EV -0.401%E -0.104%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%EV -1.31%E -0.363%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 15:34
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.17%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.57%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.27%EV -5.14%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 17:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:59
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.89%EV -6.35%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.25%EV -5.69%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 17:43
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 17:35
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 17:35
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 17:49
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 17:34
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:23
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -13.34%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 16:19
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 16:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:34
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.57%E -3.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 17:49
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.19%EV -7.97%E -4.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 15:34
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:35
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:35
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.16%E -2.44%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 15:33
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 18:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 16:23
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -8.91%E -4.57%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -19.80%E -6.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-01 16:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.84%E -5.10%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:35
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -10.31%E -5.37%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-01 15:35
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-01 15:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -11.24%E -5.92%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.18%E -6.48%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.18%E -6.48%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.43%EV -13.11%E -7.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.57%EV -15.92%E -4.90%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 17:50
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -14.51%E -7.93%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.01%E -4.84%K -7.15%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-01 15:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%13.7%2026-08-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-01 16:35