Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mjällby AIF v IF Elfsborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 15:30 UTC

Score final : Mjällby AIF 0–1 IF Elfsborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 33.33%3.00cote équitable
EV -0.023%
Avantage -0.008%
Kelly -0.011%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.92%33.41%33.27%35.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.753.0040.00%36.32%36.36%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.27%2.68cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.48%37.36%37.28%38.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.472.462.6043.48%40.44%40.57%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.41%3.40cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.445%
Kelly -0.634%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%29.23%29.45%30.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.153.3534.48%31.97%31.75%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mjällby AIF (Local) : 33.33% ; IF Elfsborg (Visiteur) : 37.27% ; Match nul : 29.41%. Pour Mjällby AIF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.001. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.000, pour une espérance de -0.023% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -0.023%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 15:28
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.88%EV -2.69%E -0.921%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.21%EV -3.85%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -5.61%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 15:29
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.50%EV -2.69%E -0.921%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.37%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.49%E -0.445%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 15:25
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.02%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.96%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.09%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 15:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:24
BetUS🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:29
BetAnything🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.10%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:24
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.92%EV -5.35%E -1.89%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -9.07%E -3.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.02%E -2.14%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.08%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:24
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.02%E -2.14%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.08%E -2.41%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 15:24
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:29
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:10
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 15:24
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.69%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -2.96%E -0.897%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:24
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:10
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:29
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:28
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 15:29
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 15:19
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -3.04%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 15:29
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:29
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:24
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:24
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -7.57%E -3.05%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.27%EV -9.72%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 15:28
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.02%E -3.71%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 15:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.69%E -4.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.69%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -12.35%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.93%EV -9.44%E -3.88%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.84%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:22
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.81%EV -12.35%E -4.70%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.04%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.15%EV -10.31%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 15:24
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.69%E -4.84%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 15:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.42%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -5.90%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.30%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -13.35%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.30%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -11.78%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 15:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -16.69%E -6.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.28%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -4.43%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.91%EV -16.69%E -6.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.86%EV -14.28%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.23%EV -14.72%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-08 15:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-08-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-08-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-08-08 15:15
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-08 15:25
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-08 15:25