The School of Odds

Mjällby AIF v AIK

2026-07-11 13:00 — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Option 1: Mjällby AIF (Local)

Odds
1.8454.35%Min
1.9750.89%Mean
1.9551.28%Median
2.1147.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.97%2.224Min
48.10%2.079Max
46.74%2.139Mean
46.80%2.137Median
46.81%2.136IQM
46.86%2.134Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.11 under the IQM model: 46.81%

EV -1.22%Edge -0.579%Kelly -1.10%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: AIK (Visit)

Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.2730.56%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.4329.15%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.48%3.639Min
29.23%3.421Max
28.00%3.572Mean
27.85%3.591Median
27.86%3.590IQM
27.92%3.581Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.43 under the IQM model: 27.86%

EV -4.45%Edge -1.30%Kelly -1.83%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.6027.81%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.8625.91%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.18%4.136Min
26.44%3.782Max
25.26%3.959Mean
25.35%3.945Median
25.33%3.948IQM
25.22%3.965Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.86 under the IQM model: 25.33%

EV -2.23%Edge -0.578%Kelly -0.780%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMjällby AIF (Local) ▼AIK (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
GTbets2.11I 47.39% NM 45.24%EV -1.22% E -0.579% K -1.10% G +0.000%3.37I 29.67% NM 28.32%EV -6.12% E -1.82% K -2.58% G +0.000%3.61I 27.70% NM 26.44%EV -8.56% E -2.37% K -3.28% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 14:45
Betsson2.00I 50.00% NM 46.81%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.54%EV -5.28% E -1.55% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.65%EV -7.55% E -2.07% K -2.85% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 20:09
NordicBet2.00I 50.00% NM 46.81%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.54%EV -5.28% E -1.55% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.65%EV -7.55% E -2.07% K -2.85% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 20:09
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00% NM 46.62%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.83%EV -6.68% E -1.99% K -2.84% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.55%EV -7.55% E -2.07% K -2.85% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 20:09
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.26%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.04%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.70%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 18:20
BetMGM2.00I 50.00% NM 46.26%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.04%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.70%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00% NM 45.90%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.24%EV -9.46% E -2.91% K -4.21% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.86%EV -10.08% E -2.84% K -3.95% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -9.46% E -2.91% K -4.21% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -11.35% E -3.24% K -4.54% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 14:50
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -6.37% E -3.19% K -6.37% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -9.46% E -2.91% K -4.21% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -11.35% E -3.24% K -4.54% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-05 20:08
1xBet1.99I 50.25% NM 47.10%EV -6.84% E -3.44% K -6.91% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.57%EV -5.28% E -1.55% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.33%EV -6.28% E -1.70% K -2.33% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 19:54
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51% NM 47.23%EV -7.31% E -3.69% K -7.46% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.50%EV -5.28% E -1.55% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.27%EV -6.28% E -1.70% K -2.33% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51% NM 47.23%EV -7.31% E -3.69% K -7.46% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.50%EV -5.28% E -1.55% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.27%EV -6.28% E -1.70% K -2.33% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 20:09
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02% NM 48.10%EV -8.24% E -4.21% K -8.59% G +0.000%3.43I 29.15% NM 27.48%EV -4.45% E -1.30% K -1.83% G +0.000%3.86I 25.91% NM 24.42%EV -2.23% E -0.578% K -0.780% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 14:45
Bovada1.96I 51.02% NM 47.95%EV -8.24% E -4.21% K -8.59% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.64%EV -5.28% E -1.55% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.41%EV -2.49% E -0.645% K -0.872% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 16:56
SportsBet1.96I 51.02% NM 46.76%EV -8.24% E -4.21% K -8.59% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.46%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 14:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28% NM 47.57%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.69%EV -6.68% E -1.99% K -2.84% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.74%EV -5.02% E -1.34% K -1.82% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 18:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28% NM 47.22%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.90%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.88%EV -6.28% E -1.70% K -2.33% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 14:50
Betway1.95I 51.28% NM 47.11%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.71%EV -10.86% E -3.39% K -4.93% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.18%EV -3.75% E -0.987% K -1.34% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:39
888sport1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 14:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 14:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -8.07% E -2.45% K -3.51% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 14:50
Neds1.95I 51.28% NM 46.16%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.13%EV -10.86% E -3.39% K -4.93% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.72%EV -11.35% E -3.24% K -4.54% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28% NM 46.16%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.13%EV -10.86% E -3.39% K -4.93% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.72%EV -11.35% E -3.24% K -4.54% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28% NM 46.16%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.13%EV -10.86% E -3.39% K -4.93% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.72%EV -11.35% E -3.24% K -4.54% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 18:30
Coral1.95I 51.28% NM 46.16%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.13%EV -10.86% E -3.39% K -4.93% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.72%EV -11.35% E -3.24% K -4.54% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 18:30
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28% NM 44.97%EV -8.71% E -4.47% K -9.17% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.23%EV -16.43% E -5.48% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.79%EV -13.88% E -4.08% K -5.78% G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-05 14:44
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08% NM 46.34%EV -10.12% E -5.27% K -11.00% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.24%EV -12.25% E -3.89% K -5.70% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.42%EV -11.35% E -3.24% K -4.54% G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 18:19
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36% NM 47.21%EV -10.59% E -5.54% K -11.63% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.74%EV -9.46% E -2.91% K -4.21% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.05%EV -8.82% E -2.45% K -3.39% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-05 14:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36% NM 45.14%EV -10.59% E -5.54% K -11.63% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.74%EV -16.43% E -5.48% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.13%EV -16.42% E -4.97% K -7.14% G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-05 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35% NM 46.06%EV -13.86% E -7.53% K -16.50% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.25%EV -16.43% E -5.48% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 25.68%EV -16.42% E -4.97% K -7.14% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-05 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerMjällby AIF (Local)AIK (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%3.65I 27.40%3.65I 27.40%5.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%3.65I 27.40%3.65I 27.40%5.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%3.65I 27.40%3.65I 27.40%5.6%2026-07-05 20:05
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%2.74I 36.50%3.50I 28.57%16.6%2026-07-05 20:05