Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v AIK

Início: 2026-07-11 13:00 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 1–2 AIK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 42.20%2.37odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -2.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.61%42.43%42.20%45.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.152.192.2852.36%46.46%45.66%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

AIK (Visitante)

Previsão 31.54%3.17odd justa
EV +11.97%
Vantagem +3.37%
Kelly +4.69%
Crescimento +0.562%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.04%31.20%31.61%32.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.732.982.953.5536.63%33.52%33.90%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.26%3.81odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.290%
Kelly +0.392%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.49%26.36%26.19%27.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.493.503.8530.77%28.69%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mjällby AIF (Local): 42.20%; AIK (Visitante): 31.54%; Empate: 26.26%. Para AIK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.17. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.97%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -11.81%E -5.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV +11.97%E +3.37%K +4.69%G +0.562%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 12:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -13.08%E -6.35%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV +0.928%E +0.290%K +0.422%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 12:09
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -13.08%E -6.35%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV +0.928%E +0.290%K +0.422%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 12:09
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.53%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -0.019%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -2.30%E -0.618%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 12:50
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -15.61%E -7.80%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 12:09
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 12:49
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -15.61%E -7.80%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.87%E -8.57%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.87%E -8.57%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:10
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.70%E -4.53%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.65%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 12:35
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.64%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.12%EV -3.61%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 12:45
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:34
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.01%E -3.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:54
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:55
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:54
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 12:44
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 12:44
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.92%EV -19.41%E -10.16%K -21.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-11 12:09
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 12:33
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 12:54
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:39
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:44
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 12:48
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 12:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 12:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-11 12:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 12:54
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:54
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 12:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-11 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.36%EV -13.90%E -5.09%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-11 12:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-07-11 12:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-07-11 12:55