La escuela de los momios

Mjällby AIF v AIK

Inicio: 2026-07-11 13:00 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 1–2 AIK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Predicción 42.20%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.61%42.43%42.20%45.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.152.192.2852.36%46.46%45.66%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AIK (Visitante)

Predicción 31.54%3.17momio equitativo
EV +11.97%
Ventaja +3.37%
Kelly +4.69%
Crecimiento +0.562%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%31.20%31.61%32.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.732.982.953.5536.63%33.52%33.90%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.26%3.81momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.290%
Kelly +0.392%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%26.36%26.19%27.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.503.8530.77%28.69%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -11.81%E -5.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV +11.97%E +3.37%K +4.69%G +0.562%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 12:34
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:09
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:10
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -13.08%E -6.35%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV +0.928%E +0.290%K +0.422%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 12:09
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -13.08%E -6.35%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV +0.928%E +0.290%K +0.422%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 12:09
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.53%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -0.019%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -2.30%E -0.618%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 12:50
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -15.61%E -7.80%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 12:09
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 12:49
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -15.61%E -7.80%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.87%E -8.57%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.87%E -8.57%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:10
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.70%E -4.53%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.65%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 12:35
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.64%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.12%EV -3.61%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 12:45
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.01%E -3.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 12:39
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:54
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:55
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:54
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 12:44
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 12:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 12:44
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 12:35
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.92%EV -19.41%E -10.16%K -21.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-11 12:09
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 12:33
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 12:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:44
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 12:48
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 12:44
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 12:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-11 12:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 12:54
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 12:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-11 12:39
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.36%EV -13.90%E -5.09%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-11 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-07-11 12:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-07-11 12:55