مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mjällby AIF v AIK

البداية: 2026-07-11 13:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Mjällby AIF 1–2 AIK

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mjällby AIF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.20%2.37السعر العادل
EV -3.79%
الأفضلية -1.66%
Kelly -2.96%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.61%42.43%42.20%45.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.152.192.2852.36%46.46%45.66%43.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AIK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.54%3.17السعر العادل
EV +11.97%
الأفضلية +3.37%
Kelly +4.69%
النمو +0.562%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.04%31.20%31.61%32.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.732.982.953.5536.63%33.52%33.90%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.26%3.81السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.290%
Kelly +0.392%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.49%26.36%26.19%27.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.493.503.8530.77%28.69%28.57%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -11.81%E -5.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV +11.97%E +3.37%K +4.69%G +0.562%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 12:34
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:09
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:10
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.65%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%EV +7.24%E +2.13%K +3.01%G +0.218%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%EV +1.12%E +0.290%K +0.392%G +0.004%1.9%2026-07-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -13.08%E -6.35%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV +0.928%E +0.290%K +0.422%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 12:09
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -13.08%E -6.35%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV +0.928%E +0.290%K +0.422%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 12:09
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -9.70%E -4.53%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -0.019%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -2.30%E -0.618%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 12:50
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -13.92%E -6.82%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -0.649%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -15.61%E -7.80%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 12:09
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 12:49
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -15.61%E -7.80%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.87%E -8.57%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.87%E -8.57%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.80%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:10
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.70%E -4.53%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.65%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 12:35
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.64%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.12%EV -3.61%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 12:45
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -8.01%E -3.68%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 12:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 12:39
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:54
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:55
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 12:54
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 12:44
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 12:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 12:44
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 12:35
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.92%EV -19.41%E -10.16%K -21.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-11 12:09
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 12:33
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 12:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:44
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 12:48
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 12:44
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 12:54
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 12:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-11 12:49
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 12:54
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:54
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 12:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 12:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 12:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-11 12:39
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.36%EV -13.90%E -5.09%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-11 12:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-07-11 12:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-07-11 12:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-07-11 12:55