The School of Odds

Malmo FF v IF Elfsborg

2026-07-26 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 52.47%1.91fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.927%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%52.17%52.71%53.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.781.751.9462%56%57%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%22.94%22.77%24.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.903.954.3029%26%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.73%4.04fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%24.89%24.52%26.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.613.603.9031%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.94%EV +1.80%E +0.927%K +1.91%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.84%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 14:30
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.94%EV +1.80%E +0.927%K +1.91%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.84%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.94%EV +1.80%E +0.927%K +1.91%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.84%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 14:35
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -1.35%E -0.718%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -1.35%E -0.718%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -12.19%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 14:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -1.87%E -1.00%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -1.87%E -1.00%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 14:30
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -1.87%E -1.00%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 14:35
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -1.87%E -1.00%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 14:34
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -16.81%E -4.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 14:30
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -16.81%E -4.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -15.90%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 14:30
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -17.95%E -4.99%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -17.14%E -5.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -5.02%E -2.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -17.95%E -4.99%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -17.14%E -5.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 14:30
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.63%EV -6.07%E -3.39%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.65%EV -5.19%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.73%EV -5.76%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 00:05
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.69%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -4.96%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.81%EV -6.50%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 14:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.00%E -0.464%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 23:45
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.60%E -3.71%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.00%E -0.464%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 23:45
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.12%E -4.02%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.39%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 00:55
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 20:15
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.36%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.97%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 14:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 15:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 15:35
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 15:35
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -20.23%E -5.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-19 14:30
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.70%E -5.00%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -9.22%E -5.33%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.28%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 14:35
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.22%E -5.33%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 14:40
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.22%E -5.33%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 14:40
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 14:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -12.37%E -7.41%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-19 13:35
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -12.37%E -7.41%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -17.95%E -4.99%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-19 14:40
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.00%EV -12.89%E -7.77%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-19 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.70%EV -12.89%E -7.77%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-19 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -13.42%E -8.13%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -11.11%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 09:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.11%EV -14.99%E -9.25%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.78%EV -19.09%E -5.38%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.12%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-19 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%12.9%2026-07-19 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 47.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.20%18.2%2026-07-20 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 47.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.20%18.2%2026-07-20 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 47.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.20%18.2%2026-07-20 01:15