Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.08
assuming max odds 4.00
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmo FF (Local): 46.52%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 27.17%; Draw: 26.31%. For IF Elfsborg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.68%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -12.07%E -6.39%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -0.834%E -0.228%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.68%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.21%E -5.29%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.03%EV -19.05%E -10.95%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.73%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.25%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -7.08%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.65%E -0.717%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 14:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.19%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.40%EV -10.07%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.41%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-26 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.82%E -4.50%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.90%EV -12.24%E -3.79%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.89%E -3.98%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -15.23%E -4.88%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.57%EV -10.68%E -5.56%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -17.13%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%EV -13.01%E -6.95%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 14:25 |