Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Malmo FF v IF Elfsborg

Inizio: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Finale: Malmo FF 1–2 IF Elfsborg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Malmo FF (Casa)

Previsione 46.52%2.15quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.50%46.75%46.54%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.961.952.0857.47%51.13%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.17%3.68quota equa
EV +8.68%
Vantaggio +2.17%
Kelly +2.89%
Crescita +0.251%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.99%27.08%27.20%29.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.443.404.0033.33%29.05%29.41%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.31%3.80quota equa
EV -0.022%
Vantaggio -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.76%26.17%26.26%27.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.513.503.8030.77%28.49%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Malmo FF (Casa): 46.52%; IF Elfsborg (Trasferta): 27.17%; Pareggio: 26.31%. Per IF Elfsborg (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.68. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.68%.

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -12.07%E -6.39%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -0.834%E -0.228%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.68%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:19
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 14:24
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.21%E -5.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.03%EV -19.05%E -10.95%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.73%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.25%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-26 14:25
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -7.08%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.65%E -0.717%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:06
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.19%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.40%EV -10.07%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.41%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.82%E -4.50%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.90%EV -12.24%E -3.79%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:24
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.89%E -3.98%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -15.23%E -4.88%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.57%EV -10.68%E -5.56%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -17.13%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%EV -13.01%E -6.95%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-07-26 14:25