Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Malmo FF v IF Elfsborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Score final : Malmo FF 1–2 IF Elfsborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prévision 46.52%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.50%46.75%46.54%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.961.952.0857.47%51.13%51.28%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.17%3.68cote équitable
EV +8.68%
Avantage +2.17%
Kelly +2.89%
Croissance +0.251%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%27.08%27.20%29.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.404.0033.33%29.05%29.41%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.31%3.80cote équitable
EV -0.022%
Avantage -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%26.17%26.26%27.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.513.503.8030.77%28.49%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Malmo FF (Local) : 46.52% ; IF Elfsborg (Visiteur) : 27.17% ; Match nul : 26.31%. Pour IF Elfsborg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.68%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -12.07%E -6.39%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -0.834%E -0.228%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.68%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:19
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 14:24
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.21%E -5.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.03%EV -19.05%E -10.95%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.73%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.25%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-26 14:25
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -7.08%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.65%E -0.717%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:06
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.19%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.40%EV -10.07%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.41%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.82%E -4.50%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.90%EV -12.24%E -3.79%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:24
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.89%E -3.98%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -15.23%E -4.88%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.57%EV -10.68%E -5.56%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -17.13%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%EV -13.01%E -6.95%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-07-26 14:25