StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Malmo FF v IF Elfsborg

Matchstart: 2026-07-26 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Malmo FF 1–2 IF Elfsborg

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Malmo FF (Hemma)

Prognos 46.52%2.15rättvist odds
EV -3.24%
Fördel -1.56%
Kelly -3.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.50%46.75%46.54%50.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.741.961.952.0857.47%51.13%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Borta)

Prognos 27.17%3.68rättvist odds
EV +8.68%
Fördel +2.17%
Kelly +2.89%
Tillväxt +0.251%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.99%27.08%27.20%29.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.443.404.0033.33%29.05%29.41%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.31%3.80rättvist odds
EV -0.022%
Fördel -0.006%
Kelly -0.008%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.76%26.17%26.26%27.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.513.503.8030.77%28.49%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Malmo FF (Hemma): 46.52%; IF Elfsborg (Borta): 27.17%; Oavgjort: 26.31%. För IF Elfsborg (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.68. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.68%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -12.07%E -6.39%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV +8.68%E +2.17%K +2.89%G +0.251%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -0.022%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -12.54%E -6.67%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +3.24%E +0.853%K +1.16%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV +0.525%E +0.142%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -13.94%E -7.53%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -0.834%E -0.228%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.68%EV -5.55%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.00%EV -15.33%E -8.42%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:19
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -6.49%E -3.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -16.26%E -9.03%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 14:24
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.21%E -5.29%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.03%EV -19.05%E -10.95%K -25.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.73%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.25%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-26 14:25
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.15%EV -4.17%E -2.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -7.08%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.65%E -0.717%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -3.97%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:06
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.19%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.40%EV -10.07%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.41%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -9.75%E -5.03%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.82%E -4.50%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.90%EV -12.24%E -3.79%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:24
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -7.89%E -3.98%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 14:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.96%E -3.48%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -15.23%E -4.88%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.57%EV -10.68%E -5.56%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -17.13%E -5.62%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%EV -13.01%E -6.95%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-07-26 14:25
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%1.6%2026-07-26 14:25