Language:English
Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kalmar FF (Local)
Prediction 34.76%2.88fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.73%34.86%35.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.632.7540.82%37.98%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Elfsborg (Visit)
Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.77%35.02%34.55%36.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.592.602.7642.55%38.54%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.32%3.30fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.467%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%30.25%30.59%31.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.053.3535.71%32.62%32.79%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar FF (Local): 34.76%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 34.93%; Draw: 30.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 20:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.25%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.21%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.40%E -2.39%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -6.62%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.75%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.25%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -14.43%E -5.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -5.81%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 22:37 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -13.38%E -5.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.91%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.48%EV -17.22%E -7.27%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -11.47%E -3.93%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 21:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.60%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.63%EV -14.85%E -6.06%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.11%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.26%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.11%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.24% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 35.91% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 29.85% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |