L’École des cotes

Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prévision 34.76%2.88cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%34.73%34.86%35.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.632.7540.82%37.98%38.02%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.93%2.86cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.77%35.02%34.55%36.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.592.602.7642.55%38.54%38.46%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.32%3.30cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.467%
Kelly +0.665%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%30.25%30.59%31.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.053.3535.71%32.62%32.79%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010%2.6%2026-04-23 19:25
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010%2.6%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:24
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:39
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:53
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.25%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.21%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:45
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:44
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:25
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:25
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:25
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:39
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:39
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:08
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 19:25
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 19:25
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.40%E -2.39%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -6.62%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:10
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 34.75%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.25%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 21:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -14.43%E -5.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 21:44
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -5.81%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:37
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:05
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:04
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:05
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:05
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:05
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:39
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:39
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -13.38%E -5.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 19:25
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:29
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.91%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.48%EV -17.22%E -7.27%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -11.47%E -3.93%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 21:48
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:39
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:39
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.60%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 21:44
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.63%EV -14.85%E -6.06%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.11%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.26%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.11%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 34.24%2.46I 40.65%NM 35.91%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.85%13.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10