Idioma:Español
Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kalmar FF (Local)
Predicción 34.76%2.88momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%34.73%34.86%35.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.632.7540.82%37.98%38.02%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IF Elfsborg (Visitante)
Predicción 34.93%2.86momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.77%35.02%34.55%36.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.592.602.7642.55%38.54%38.46%36.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.32%3.30momio equitativo
EV +1.56%
Ventaja +0.467%
Kelly +0.665%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.56%30.25%30.59%31.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.053.3535.71%32.62%32.79%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kalmar FF (Local): 34.76%; IF Elfsborg (Visitante): 34.93%; Empate: 30.32%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.30. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.56%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 20:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.25%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.21%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.40%E -2.39%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -6.62%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.75%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.25%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -14.43%E -5.89%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -5.81%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 22:37 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -13.38%E -5.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.91%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.48%EV -17.22%E -7.27%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -11.47%E -3.93%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 21:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.60%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 21:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.63%EV -14.85%E -6.06%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.11%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.26%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.11%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 34.24% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 35.91% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 29.85% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |