A Escola das Odds

Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg

Início: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Previsão 34.76%2.88odd justa
EV -4.42%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.73%34.73%34.86%35.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.632.632.7540.82%37.98%38.02%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IF Elfsborg (Visitante)

Previsão 34.93%2.86odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.77%35.02%34.55%36.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.592.602.7642.55%38.54%38.46%36.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.32%3.30odd justa
EV +1.56%
Vantagem +0.467%
Kelly +0.665%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.56%30.25%30.59%31.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.073.053.3535.71%32.62%32.79%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010%2.6%2026-04-23 19:25
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -4.42%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%EV +1.56%E +0.467%K +0.665%G +0.010%2.6%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -1.47%E -0.452%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:24
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:39
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:53
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.98%E -0.933%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.25%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.21%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:45
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:44
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:25
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:25
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.14%E -3.10%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 19:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:25
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.50%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:39
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:39
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:08
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 19:25
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.94%E -4.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 19:25
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -6.40%E -2.39%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -6.62%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:10
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 34.75%EV -5.46%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.25%EV -3.60%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 21:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.18%EV -14.43%E -5.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -7.53%E -2.47%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 21:44
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -5.81%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:37
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:05
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.85%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:04
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:05
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -5.00%E -1.84%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:05
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.16%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:05
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.27%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:39
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 22:39
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.19%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -13.38%E -5.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 19:25
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 22:39
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.90%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -10.56%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:29
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.91%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.48%EV -17.22%E -7.27%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.61%EV -11.47%E -3.93%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 21:48
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:39
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:39
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.41%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -5.70%E -2.11%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:39
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.64%E -3.71%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -7.44%E -2.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 21:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -11.37%E -4.46%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.60%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 21:44
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.63%EV -14.85%E -6.06%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.11%EV -17.92%E -7.63%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.26%EV -12.08%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -13.11%E -5.24%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.11%E -5.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 34.24%2.46I 40.65%NM 35.91%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.85%13.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10