La scuola delle quote

IK Sirius v Hammarby IF

Inizio: 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Finale: IK Sirius 2–0 Hammarby IF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

IK Sirius (Casa)

Previsione 35.76%2.80quota equa
EV +3.71%
Vantaggio +1.28%
Kelly +1.95%
Crescita +0.073%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.28%35.54%35.75%36.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.622.602.9041.67%38.21%38.46%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hammarby IF (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.66%2.73quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -0.657%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.03%36.88%36.61%40.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.452.452.6846.08%40.82%40.82%37.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.58%3.63quota equa
EV +3.43%
Vantaggio +0.914%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.96%27.59%27.64%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.363.353.7534.72%29.74%29.85%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.23%EV -10.92%E -4.50%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV +3.43%E +0.914%K +1.25%G +0.043%2.3%2026-04-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016%3.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016%3.2%2026-04-13 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV +1.92%E +0.675%K +1.04%G +0.020%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.709%E -0.197%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:40
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:54
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Coolbet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -2.01%E -0.733%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:45
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.17%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.32%EV -3.19%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 16:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -4.87%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 16:44
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -5.94%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -20.46%E -9.43%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 16:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:54
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
BetAnything2.61I 38.31%NM 35.93%EV -6.66%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 16:54
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:54
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:34
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:45
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 16:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 16:34
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:55
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 36.53%EV -8.09%E -3.15%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.03%EV -1.76%E -0.657%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:35
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -9.16%E -3.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 16:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:54
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -13.12%E -5.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.38%E -5.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.63%EV -13.45%E -5.56%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.00%EV -14.59%E -6.26%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 16:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.57%E -7.14%K -10.94%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-13 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%3.4%2026-04-13 16:55