مدرسة الاحتمالات

IK Sirius v Hammarby IF

البداية: 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: IK Sirius 2–0 Hammarby IF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

IK Sirius (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.76%2.80السعر العادل
EV +3.71%
الأفضلية +1.28%
Kelly +1.95%
النمو +0.073%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.28%35.54%35.75%36.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.622.602.9041.67%38.21%38.46%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hammarby IF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.66%2.73السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -0.657%
Kelly -1.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.03%36.88%36.61%40.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.452.452.6846.08%40.82%40.82%37.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.58%3.63السعر العادل
EV +3.43%
الأفضلية +0.914%
Kelly +1.25%
النمو +0.043%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.96%27.59%27.64%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.363.353.7534.72%29.74%29.85%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.23%EV -10.92%E -4.50%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV +3.43%E +0.914%K +1.25%G +0.043%2.3%2026-04-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016%3.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016%3.2%2026-04-13 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV +1.92%E +0.675%K +1.04%G +0.020%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.709%E -0.197%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:40
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:54
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Coolbet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -2.01%E -0.733%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:45
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.17%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.32%EV -3.19%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 16:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -4.87%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 16:44
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -5.94%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -20.46%E -9.43%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 16:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:54
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
BetAnything2.61I 38.31%NM 35.93%EV -6.66%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 16:54
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:54
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:34
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:45
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 16:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 16:34
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:55
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 36.53%EV -8.09%E -3.15%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.03%EV -1.76%E -0.657%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:35
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -9.16%E -3.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 16:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:54
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -13.12%E -5.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.38%E -5.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.63%EV -13.45%E -5.56%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.00%EV -14.59%E -6.26%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 16:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.57%E -7.14%K -10.94%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-13 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%3.4%2026-04-13 16:55