La escuela de los momiosIK Sirius v Hammarby IF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Sirius (Local)
Predicción 35.76%2.80momio equitativo
EV +3.71%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.073%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.28%35.54%35.75%36.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.602.9041.67%38.21%38.46%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hammarby IF (Visitante)
Predicción 36.66%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.03%36.88%36.61%40.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.452.452.6846.08%40.82%40.82%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.58%3.63momio equitativo
EV +3.43%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%27.59%27.64%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.353.7534.72%29.74%29.85%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.23%EV -10.92%E -4.50%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV +3.43%E +0.914%K +1.25%G +0.043% | 2.3% | 2026-04-13 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV +1.92%E +0.675%K +1.04%G +0.020% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.709%E -0.197%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 16:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -2.01%E -0.733%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 16:45 |
| GTbets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.17%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.32%EV -3.19%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-13 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Bovada | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -4.87%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -5.94%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -20.46%E -9.43%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-13 16:54 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.93%EV -6.66%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 16:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 16:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-13 16:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 16:34 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.53%EV -8.09%E -3.15%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.03%EV -1.76%E -0.657%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-13 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -9.16%E -3.61%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-13 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-13 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-13 16:54 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -13.12%E -5.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-13 16:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.38%E -5.05%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.63%EV -13.45%E -5.56%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.00%EV -14.59%E -6.26%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.57%E -7.14%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 16:55 |