L’École des cotes

IK Sirius v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : IK Sirius 2–0 Hammarby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Sirius (Local)

Prévision 35.76%2.80cote équitable
EV +3.71%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.073%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.28%35.54%35.75%36.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.602.9041.67%38.21%38.46%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.66%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.657%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.03%36.88%36.61%40.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.452.452.6846.08%40.82%40.82%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.58%3.63cote équitable
EV +3.43%
Avantage +0.914%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.96%27.59%27.64%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.353.7534.72%29.74%29.85%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.71%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.23%EV -10.92%E -4.50%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV +3.43%E +0.914%K +1.25%G +0.043%2.3%2026-04-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016%3.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +3.71%E +1.28%K +1.95%G +0.073%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV +2.05%E +0.554%K +0.759%G +0.016%3.2%2026-04-13 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV +1.92%E +0.675%K +1.04%G +0.020%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.709%E -0.197%K -0.273%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -15.69%E -6.82%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:45
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -2.09%E -0.588%K -0.819%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 16:40
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:54
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -1.65%E -0.601%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -16.42%E -7.20%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Coolbet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.01%EV -2.01%E -0.733%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.02%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 16:45
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.17%EV -5.43%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.32%EV -3.19%E -0.909%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 16:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -17.52%E -7.79%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.30%EV -4.87%E -1.83%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.68%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 16:44
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.37%EV -5.94%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -20.46%E -9.43%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 16:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:54
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.30%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.50%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 16:55
BetAnything2.61I 38.31%NM 35.93%EV -6.66%E -2.55%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 16:54
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:54
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:34
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:45
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 16:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -3.47%E -0.991%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 16:34
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.15%EV -7.73%E -3.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:55
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 36.53%EV -8.09%E -3.15%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.03%EV -1.76%E -0.657%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.60%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.80%E -3.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:35
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -9.16%E -3.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 16:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-13 16:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-13 16:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-13 16:54
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -13.12%E -5.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-13 16:45
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.38%E -5.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-13 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.63%EV -13.45%E -5.56%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.00%EV -14.59%E -6.26%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 16:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-13 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -13.86%E -5.90%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.12%E -4.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.17%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.02%E -5.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.57%E -7.14%K -10.94%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-13 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-13 16:55
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-04-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-13 16:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%3.4%2026-04-13 16:55