Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Goteborg (Local): 38.74%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 33.79%; Draw: 27.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 11:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.84%EV -4.31%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.19%EV -2.35%E -0.812%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.08%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 04:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 04:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 04:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 14:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -11.67%E -5.12%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -13.83%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -15.52%E -6.21%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.09%EV -15.55%E -7.13%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.42%EV -13.83%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.41% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48% | 2.5% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
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