Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prediction 41.56%2.41fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.69%41.61%41.48%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.2950.00%45.75%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visit)

Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.458%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%31.51%31.57%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.903.2037.04%34.09%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.88%26.95%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.40%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IFK Goteborg (Local): 41.56%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 31.57%; Draw: 26.88%. For Kalmar FF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.20, producing a positive expected value of +1.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.25%E -2.30%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.01%E +0.315%K +0.458%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.24%E -0.899%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.25%E -2.30%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.01%E +0.315%K +0.458%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.24%E -0.899%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.25%E -2.30%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.01%E +0.315%K +0.458%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.24%E -0.899%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.65%E -4.96%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.41%E -4.32%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.41%E -4.32%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.41%E -4.32%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.41%E -4.32%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.23%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.79%EV -6.25%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:20
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.28%EV -5.67%E -2.50%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.55%EV -6.25%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 20:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%EV -11.07%E -5.17%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.30%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.25%E -2.30%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.83%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.25%E -2.30%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.83%E -2.68%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.24%E -0.899%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.27%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.30%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.30%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.30%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.30%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.65%E -4.96%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:04
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -11.07%E -5.17%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -16.89%E -8.44%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -8.46%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 15:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 18:07
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -9.09%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.04%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.04%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -16.89%E -8.44%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -10.04%E -3.52%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.62%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.27%EV -16.89%E -8.44%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.62%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -9.96%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 15:14
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 42.08%EV -15.23%E -7.46%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.62%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -15.33%E -4.87%K -7.13%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.12%EV -11.49%E -5.39%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -12.25%E -4.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -13.99%E -4.37%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 18:08
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -10.65%E -4.96%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -14.77%E -5.47%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.27%18.8%2026-08-02 18:10
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 39.10%2.42I 41.32%NM 31.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 29.71%32.5%2026-08-02 18:15