Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Previsão 41.46%2.41odd justa
EV -5.05%
Vantagem -2.20%
Kelly -3.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.69%41.55%41.45%43.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.192.202.2950.00%45.72%45.45%43.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Previsão 31.62%3.16odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.365%
Kelly +0.531%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.16%31.54%31.59%32.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.932.903.2037.04%34.09%34.48%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.92%3.71odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -0.856%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.69%26.91%26.97%27.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.40%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: IFK Goteborg (Local): 41.46%; Kalmar FF (Visitante): 31.62%; Empate: 26.92%. Para Kalmar FF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.16. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.20, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.23%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.79%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:20
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.28%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.55%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 20:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%EV -11.27%E -5.27%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 21:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -11.27%E -5.27%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 15:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 18:07
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.27%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 15:14
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 42.08%EV -15.41%E -7.56%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -15.20%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.12%EV -11.68%E -5.49%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -12.11%E -4.36%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 18:08
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -14.64%E -5.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.27%18.8%2026-08-02 18:10
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 39.10%2.42I 41.32%NM 31.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 29.71%32.5%2026-08-02 18:15