Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF

Início: 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC

Final: IFK Goteborg 3–2 Kalmar FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Previsão 38.74%2.58odd justa
EV -3.92%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.61%38.80%38.74%39.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.382.402.4845.87%42.01%41.67%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Previsão 33.79%2.96odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -0.692%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.62%33.77%33.84%34.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.722.702.9040.00%36.73%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.47%3.64odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.309%
Kelly -0.428%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.18%27.43%27.42%28.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Goteborg (Local): 38.74%; Kalmar FF (Visitante): 33.79%; Empate: 27.47%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -1.11%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 11:04
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.84%EV -4.31%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.19%EV -2.35%E -0.812%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:10
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:14
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:15
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.08%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 14:25
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:00
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:15
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:15
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 14:15
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 14:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:10
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 14:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:03
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 23:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -11.67%E -5.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -13.83%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-07 23:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -15.52%E -6.21%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-09 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.09%EV -15.55%E -7.13%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.42%EV -13.83%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-09 14:25
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-09 14:25
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.41%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.11%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48%2.5%2026-08-09 14:25