StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Goteborg (Hemma)

Prognos 41.46%2.41rättvist odds
EV -5.05%
Fördel -2.20%
Kelly -3.91%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.69%41.55%41.45%43.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.192.202.2950.00%45.72%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Borta)

Prognos 31.62%3.16rättvist odds
EV +1.17%
Fördel +0.365%
Kelly +0.531%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.16%31.54%31.59%32.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.932.903.2037.04%34.09%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.92%3.71rättvist odds
EV -3.08%
Fördel -0.856%
Kelly -1.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.69%26.91%26.97%27.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.40%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: IFK Goteborg (Hemma): 41.46%; Kalmar FF (Borta): 31.62%; Oavgjort: 26.92%. För Kalmar FF (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.16. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.20, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.23%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.79%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:20
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.28%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.55%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 20:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%EV -11.27%E -5.27%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 21:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -11.27%E -5.27%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 15:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 18:07
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.27%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 15:14
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 42.08%EV -15.41%E -7.56%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -15.20%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.12%EV -11.68%E -5.49%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -12.11%E -4.36%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 18:08
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -14.64%E -5.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 18:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.27%18.8%2026-08-02 18:10
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 39.10%2.42I 41.32%NM 31.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 29.71%32.5%2026-08-02 18:15