Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 41.46%2.41cote équitable
EV -5.05%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -3.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.69%41.55%41.45%43.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.202.2950.00%45.72%45.45%43.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.62%3.16cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.365%
Kelly +0.531%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.16%31.54%31.59%32.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.932.903.2037.04%34.09%34.48%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.856%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.69%26.91%26.97%27.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.40%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : IFK Goteborg (Local) : 41.46% ; Kalmar FF (Visiteur) : 31.62% ; Match nul : 26.92%. Pour Kalmar FF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.16. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.20, pour une espérance positive de +1.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.63%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV +1.17%E +0.365%K +0.531%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:59
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -9.61%E -4.41%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.15%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.23%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.79%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:20
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.28%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.55%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 20:05
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%EV -11.27%E -5.27%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.73%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:59
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.68%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.08%E -0.856%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:09
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:05
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 21:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -11.27%E -5.27%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 15:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 18:07
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.10%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-02 14:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.27%EV -17.07%E -8.54%K -17.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 15:14
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 42.08%EV -15.41%E -7.56%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -15.20%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.12%EV -11.68%E -5.49%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -12.11%E -4.36%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 18:08
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -14.64%E -5.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.84%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.77%13.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.27%18.8%2026-08-02 18:10
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 39.10%2.42I 41.32%NM 31.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 29.71%32.5%2026-08-02 18:15