Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 14:30 UTC

Score final : IFK Goteborg 3–2 Kalmar FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 38.74%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.61%38.80%38.74%39.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.382.402.4845.87%42.01%41.67%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.79%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.62%33.77%33.84%34.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.702.9040.00%36.73%37.04%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.47%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.428%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.18%27.43%27.42%28.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IFK Goteborg (Local) : 38.74% ; Kalmar FF (Visiteur) : 33.79% ; Match nul : 27.47%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -1.11% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.61%EV -2.01%E -0.692%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%EV -1.11%E -0.309%K -0.428%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -3.70%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 11:04
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.84%EV -4.31%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.19%EV -2.35%E -0.812%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:10
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.09%E -2.08%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:14
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.99%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.03%EV -2.68%E -0.932%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 14:15
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.08%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 14:25
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:49
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.25%E -2.58%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:00
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:15
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 04:15
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 14:15
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 14:15
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -7.02%E -2.93%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:10
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.80%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.08%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.96%E -3.81%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 14:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:03
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.90%E -4.74%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 23:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -11.67%E -5.12%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -8.77%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.46%E -3.95%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -13.83%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-07 23:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -14.77%E -6.71%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -15.52%E -6.21%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-09 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.09%EV -15.55%E -7.13%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.42%EV -13.83%E -5.43%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.49%EV -14.85%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-09 14:25
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-09 14:25
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.41%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.11%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48%2.5%2026-08-09 14:25