Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg

2026-08-23 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prediction 36.75%2.72fair odd
EV +6.57%
Edge +2.26%
Kelly +3.46%
Growth +0.227%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.30%36.52%36.87%37.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.532.9043.48%38.80%39.53%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 35.82%2.79fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.04%36.20%35.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.452.6644.44%40.68%40.82%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.341%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%27.28%27.47%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.383.6031.25%29.70%29.63%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IFK Goteborg (Local): 36.75%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 35.82%; Draw: 27.44%. For IFK Goteborg (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.90, producing a positive expected value of +6.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +6.57%E +2.26%K +3.46%G +0.227%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -12.25%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -1.23%E -0.341%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +6.57%E +2.26%K +3.46%G +0.227%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -12.25%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -1.23%E -0.341%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +6.57%E +2.26%K +3.46%G +0.227%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -12.25%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -1.23%E -0.341%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +2.89%E +1.03%K +1.61%G +0.046%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -15.83%E -6.74%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +2.89%E +1.03%K +1.61%G +0.046%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -15.83%E -6.74%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +1.05%E +0.383%K +0.602%G +0.006%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.55%E -7.10%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:19
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +1.05%E +0.383%K +0.602%G +0.006%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.55%E -7.10%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +1.05%E +0.383%K +0.602%G +0.006%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.55%E -7.10%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:20
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +1.05%E +0.383%K +0.602%G +0.006%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.55%E -7.10%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:19
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -0.783%E -0.290%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -17.62%E -7.66%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 12:19
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -0.783%E -0.290%K -0.461%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -18.34%E -8.04%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.989%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -19.41%E -8.63%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.989%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -19.41%E -8.63%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.989%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -19.41%E -8.63%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 12:19
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.30%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.51%EV -4.73%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.46%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 13:25
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.30%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -12.25%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.23%E -0.341%K -0.472%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.30%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:04
Bovada🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.96%EV -6.66%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.09%E -1.92%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 14:28
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -6.66%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 13:25
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.40%E -2.94%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 13:15
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.40%E -2.94%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 15:09
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.46%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.88%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 12:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -12.25%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -12.25%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -14.04%E -5.85%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 13:19
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.46%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -11.81%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -17.62%E -7.66%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.64%E -5.81%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.25%E -5.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-16 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.64%E -5.81%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -10.46%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.66%EV -14.38%E -6.17%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.10%EV -10.46%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -11.65%E -3.62%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 15:13
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -15.48%E -6.73%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -14.76%E -6.20%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-16 18:17
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -15.48%E -6.73%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.04%E -5.85%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-16 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%13.8%2026-08-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 33.76%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.49%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.76%15.7%2026-08-16 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 33.76%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.49%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.76%15.7%2026-08-16 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 35.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 34.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 30.43%28.4%2026-08-16 19:45
Arbitrage (24 combinations) +0.15%Unibet (SE) 2.90 (34.5%) / Pinnacle 2.66 (37.6%) / Unibet (SE) 3.60 (27.8%)Show all 24 combinations
IFK Goteborg (Local)IF Elfsborg (Visit)DrawMargin
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)FanDuel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)FanDuel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.66 (37.6%)FanDuel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.146%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Bovada🎯 2.65 (37.7%)FanDuel🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%

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