StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg

2026-08-23 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Goteborg (Hemma)

Prognos 36.70%2.73rättvist odds
EV +6.42%
Fördel +2.21%
Kelly +3.38%
Tillväxt +0.217%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.30%36.45%36.75%37.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.582.542.9043.48%38.73%39.45%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Borta)

Prognos 35.83%2.79rättvist odds
EV -6.12%
Fördel -2.34%
Kelly -3.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.04%36.23%35.84%39.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.462.452.6244.44%40.71%40.82%38.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.47%3.64rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.306%
Kelly -0.424%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.60%27.32%27.41%28.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.65%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: IFK Goteborg (Hemma): 36.70%; IF Elfsborg (Borta): 35.83%; Oavgjort: 27.47%. För IFK Goteborg (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.73. 9 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.90, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +6.42%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +6.42%E +2.21%K +3.38%G +0.217%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -1.10%E -0.306%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +6.42%E +2.21%K +3.38%G +0.217%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -1.10%E -0.306%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +6.42%E +2.21%K +3.38%G +0.217%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -1.10%E -0.306%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +2.75%E +0.982%K +1.53%G +0.042%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -15.80%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +2.75%E +0.982%K +1.53%G +0.042%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -15.80%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +0.916%E +0.333%K +0.523%G +0.005%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.51%E -7.09%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:19
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +0.916%E +0.333%K +0.523%G +0.005%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.51%E -7.09%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +0.916%E +0.333%K +0.523%G +0.005%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.51%E -7.09%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:20
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV +0.916%E +0.333%K +0.523%G +0.005%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -16.51%E -7.09%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:19
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -0.919%E -0.340%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 12:19
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -0.919%E -0.340%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -18.30%E -8.03%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -19.38%E -8.61%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -19.38%E -8.61%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -19.38%E -8.61%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 20:39
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.48%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.06%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.46%EV -5.50%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 20:45
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.98%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 20:34
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -7.91%E -3.08%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 20:39
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.10%E -0.306%K -0.424%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 13:19
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.52%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 13:15
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.52%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 13:15
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 15:09
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 13:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 19:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.12%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 13:19
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -17.59%E -7.65%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-16 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.66%EV -14.50%E -6.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.10%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -11.54%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 15:13
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -14.72%E -6.18%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-16 18:17
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-16 15:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%8.9%2026-08-16 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%8.9%2026-08-16 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%8.9%2026-08-16 20:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%10.0%2026-08-16 20:40

Diskutera den här matchen på odds.forum

Forumdiskussionen visas på engelska.

Inga publicerade kommentarer ännu.