Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg

Início: 2026-08-23 12:00 UTC

Final: IFK Goteborg 1–1 IF Elfsborg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Previsão 36.08%2.77odd justa
EV +1.01%
Vantagem +0.362%
Kelly +0.563%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.09%35.90%36.06%37.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.602.8041.67%38.59%38.46%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IF Elfsborg (Visitante)

Previsão 36.36%2.75odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -0.955%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.37%36.50%36.33%38.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.322.512.502.6843.10%39.88%40.00%37.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.57%3.63odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -0.603%
Kelly -0.840%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.68%27.60%27.61%28.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.353.5532.26%30.03%29.85%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Goteborg (Local): 36.08%; IF Elfsborg (Visitante): 36.36%; Empate: 27.57%. Para IFK Goteborg (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.77. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.01%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%EV +1.01%E +0.362%K +0.563%G +0.006%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV +1.01%E +0.362%K +0.563%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV +1.01%E +0.362%K +0.563%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 11:45
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -0.790%E -0.287%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.69%EV -8.38%E -3.32%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -5.73%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.03%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.86%EV -5.11%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -12.74%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 08:50
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.36%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.82%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 11:30
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -5.12%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 06:00
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 06:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 11:30
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:24
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 11:28
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:55
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:50
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.09%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -15.65%E -6.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.09%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -15.65%E -6.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.09%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -15.65%E -6.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:45
Bovada🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.26%EV -6.56%E -2.53%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.71%EV -4.38%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.92%E -2.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 11:05
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.92%E -2.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 11:05
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.72%EV -7.28%E -2.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.61%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.67%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 04:30
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.74%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.75%EV -9.09%E -3.61%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.47%EV -9.58%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 11:35
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 04:29
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 04:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:53
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:10
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 11:29
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.42%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.74%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 07:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:45
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-23 11:55