Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 12:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Goteborg 1–1 IF Elfsborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 36.08%2.77cote équitable
EV +1.01%
Avantage +0.362%
Kelly +0.563%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.09%35.90%36.06%37.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.8041.67%38.59%38.46%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.36%2.75cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.955%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.37%36.50%36.33%38.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.322.512.502.6843.10%39.88%40.00%37.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.603%
Kelly -0.840%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%27.60%27.61%28.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.353.5532.26%30.03%29.85%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IFK Goteborg (Local) : 36.08% ; IF Elfsborg (Visiteur) : 36.36% ; Match nul : 27.57%. Pour IFK Goteborg (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.77. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +1.01%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%EV +1.01%E +0.362%K +0.563%G +0.006%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.04%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV +1.01%E +0.362%K +0.563%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV +1.01%E +0.362%K +0.563%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 11:45
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -0.790%E -0.287%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.69%EV -8.38%E -3.32%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -5.73%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:45
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -11.65%E -4.79%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.03%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.86%EV -5.11%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -12.74%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 08:50
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.36%EV -4.76%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.82%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 11:30
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -5.12%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.56%E -0.955%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 06:00
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 06:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 11:30
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 23:24
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.47%E -2.10%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 11:28
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:55
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 08:50
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.09%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -15.65%E -6.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.09%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -15.65%E -6.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.09%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -15.65%E -6.75%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-23 11:45
Bovada🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.26%EV -6.56%E -2.53%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.71%EV -4.38%E -1.66%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.92%E -2.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 11:05
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.92%E -2.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.20%E -2.40%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 11:05
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.72%EV -7.28%E -2.83%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.61%EV -3.65%E -1.38%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.67%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 04:30
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.74%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.75%EV -9.09%E -3.61%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.47%EV -9.58%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 11:35
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 04:29
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 04:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:53
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:10
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.61%EV -10.92%E -4.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 06:10
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.10%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 11:29
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.42%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.74%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 07:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:30
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-23 11:45
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-23 11:55