Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 3.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Elfsborg (Local): 43.57%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 27.56%; Draw: 28.87%. For Mjällby AIF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV +1.98%E +0.536%K +0.735%G +0.015% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.03%EV -7.20%E -3.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV +1.71%E +0.463%K +0.635%G +0.011% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 16:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.46%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -5.46%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV +0.204%E +0.089%K +0.157%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -3.29%E -0.981%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -19.17%E -6.84%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.99%EV -11.56%E -5.69%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -9.64%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-21 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.93%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39%EV +1.08%E +0.464%K +0.815%G +0.009% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.38%EV -12.07%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.25%E -4.98%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.25%E -4.98%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |