L’École des cotes

IF Elfsborg v Mjällby AIF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 17:00 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 43.57%2.30cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.464%
Kelly +0.815%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.39%43.48%43.71%45.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.102.3251.28%47.15%47.62%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mjällby AIF (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.56%3.63cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.536%
Kelly +0.735%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%27.53%27.43%29.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.253.7033.33%30.14%30.77%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.87%3.46cote équitable
EV -0.400%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.163%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.85%28.99%28.87%30.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.153.153.4535.71%31.73%31.75%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV +1.98%E +0.536%K +0.735%G +0.015%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 16:50
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.03%EV -7.20%E -3.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV +1.71%E +0.463%K +0.635%G +0.011%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 16:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 16:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 16:48
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 16:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 16:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-21 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 16:40
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 16:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 16:40
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:50
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:50
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.46%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -5.46%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 16:39
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 16:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV +0.204%E +0.089%K +0.157%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -3.29%E -0.981%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-21 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 16:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -19.17%E -6.84%K -10.65%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-21 16:50
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:39
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.99%EV -11.56%E -5.69%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -9.64%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 16:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-21 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.93%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 16:49
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-21 16:40
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39%EV +1.08%E +0.464%K +0.815%G +0.009%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.38%EV -12.07%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 16:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 16:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 16:40
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 16:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 16:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 16:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-21 16:50
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.25%E -4.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.25%E -4.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-21 16:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-21 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-21 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-21 16:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17%2.3%2026-05-21 16:50