La scuola delle quote

IF Elfsborg v Mjällby AIF

Inizio: 2026-05-21 17:00 UTC

Finale: IF Elfsborg 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Casa)

Previsione 43.57%2.30quota equa
EV +1.08%
Vantaggio +0.464%
Kelly +0.815%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.39%43.48%43.71%45.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.122.102.3251.28%47.15%47.62%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mjällby AIF (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.56%3.63quota equa
EV +1.98%
Vantaggio +0.536%
Kelly +0.735%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.78%27.53%27.43%29.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.323.253.7033.33%30.14%30.77%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.87%3.46quota equa
EV -0.400%
Vantaggio -0.116%
Kelly -0.163%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.85%28.99%28.87%30.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.153.153.4535.71%31.73%31.75%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV +1.98%E +0.536%K +0.735%G +0.015%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -4.15%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 16:50
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.03%EV -7.20%E -3.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.99%EV +1.71%E +0.463%K +0.635%G +0.011%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 16:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 16:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 16:48
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.772%E -0.214%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 16:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 16:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-21 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 16:40
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 16:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.40%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%EV -0.400%E -0.116%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-21 16:40
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:50
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:50
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.46%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -5.46%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 16:39
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 16:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV +0.204%E +0.089%K +0.157%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -3.29%E -0.981%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-21 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 16:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -19.17%E -6.84%K -10.65%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-21 16:50
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -1.97%E -0.877%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.69%E -5.21%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:39
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.99%EV -11.56%E -5.69%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -9.64%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 16:39
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-21 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.17%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.93%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 16:49
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-21 16:40
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.39%EV +1.08%E +0.464%K +0.815%G +0.009%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.38%EV -12.07%E -3.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 16:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 16:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 16:40
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 16:40
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 16:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.62%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 16:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-21 16:50
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.25%E -4.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.25%E -4.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.50%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.06%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-21 16:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.39%E -4.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-21 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-21 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-05-21 16:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17%2.3%2026-05-21 16:50