Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 6.00
assuming max odds 4.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 61.40%; BK Hacken (Visit): 18.76%; Draw: 19.84%. For BK Hacken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.33. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.55%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +3.17%E +0.576%K +0.704%G +0.022% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +3.17%E +0.576%K +0.704%G +0.022% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.48%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.77%EV +0.919%E +0.171%K +0.210%G +0.002% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.75%EV -3.96%E -0.818%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.51%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.86%EV -0.207%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.64%EV -12.89%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 11:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -0.582%E -0.110%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.52%E -0.290%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -10.97%E -7.57%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.47%EV -3.96%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.51%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 05:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.29%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.87%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.84%EV -3.76%E -0.775%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.59%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.67%E -3.69%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.67%E -3.69%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 04:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 10:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 05:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.03%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -10.36%E -7.09%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -9.71%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.80%EV -15.27%E -11.07%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.40%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80%EV -18.64%E -4.55%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.37%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -9.02%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.37%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -9.02%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 12:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -10.90%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -10.90%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -14.08%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.84%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -13.71%E -2.98%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.59%E -3.46%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.08%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -18.78%E -4.34%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.52% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.90% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.58% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
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