Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v BK Hacken

2026-08-09 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 61.45%1.63fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -7.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.44%61.41%61.54%62.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5671.43%66.94%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 18.44%5.42fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.587%
Kelly +0.714%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.37%18.48%18.36%20.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.025.005.6023.81%19.93%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.10%4.97fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.20%20.11%20.10%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.494.504.8325.00%22.29%22.22%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hammarby IF (Local): 61.45%; BK Hacken (Visit): 18.44%; Draw: 20.10%. For BK Hacken (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.42. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.60, producing a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +3.29%E +0.587%K +0.714%G +0.023%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 12:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +3.29%E +0.587%K +0.714%G +0.023%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 12:20
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +3.29%E +0.587%K +0.714%G +0.023%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 12:19
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.25%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.45%EV -1.32%E -0.248%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:49
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.25%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.45%EV -1.32%E -0.248%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -2.25%E -0.424%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -2.25%E -0.424%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:20
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.99%EV -3.91%E -0.750%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:04
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.50%EV -2.90%E -0.600%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:20
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:19
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:20
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:19
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -5.94%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:20
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 20:05
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 13:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 12:20
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 17:04
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.08%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.56%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.08%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.56%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.59%EV -6.59%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.39%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 13:24
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -12.39%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.51%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 17:40
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.12%EV -13.97%E -9.98%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.01%EV -12.39%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.08%EV -10.28%E -7.04%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.28%EV -16.08%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -14.56%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 17:08
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.39%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.25%EV -16.08%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 13:24
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -11.51%E -7.99%K -26.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.38%EV -10.28%E -7.04%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -18.85%E -4.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 13:24
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.44%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%EV -22.54%E -5.37%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.04%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 59.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%13.5%2026-08-02 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-08-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-08-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-08-02 17:05