Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hammarby IF v BK Hacken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC

Score final : Hammarby IF 3–0 BK Hacken

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 61.40%1.63cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -6.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.53%61.46%61.39%63.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.501.501.5772.46%66.78%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

BK Hacken (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.76%5.33cote équitable
EV +12.55%
Avantage +2.09%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.315%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.27%18.68%18.76%20.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.335.085.006.0023.09%19.70%20.00%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.84%5.04cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.565%
Kelly -0.709%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.10%19.86%19.85%21.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.564.504.9024.39%21.94%22.22%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hammarby IF (Local) : 61.40% ; BK Hacken (Visiteur) : 18.76% ; Match nul : 19.84%. Pour BK Hacken (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.33. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +12.55%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +3.17%E +0.576%K +0.704%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +3.17%E +0.576%K +0.704%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:24
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.48%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.77%EV +0.919%E +0.171%K +0.210%G +0.002%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.75%EV -3.96%E -0.818%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 11:55
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.51%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.86%EV -0.207%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.64%EV -12.89%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -0.582%E -0.110%K -0.135%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.709%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:54
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.52%E -0.290%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -10.97%E -7.57%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 11:25
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.47%EV -3.96%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.51%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 05:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.29%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.87%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.84%EV -3.76%E -0.775%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:10
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:35
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.59%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.67%E -3.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.67%E -3.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:24
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 04:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 10:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 05:15
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 05:15
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.03%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -10.36%E -7.09%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -9.71%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.80%EV -15.27%E -11.07%K -40.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.40%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80%EV -18.64%E -4.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.37%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -9.02%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.37%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -9.02%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:55
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:04
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:05
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -10.90%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -10.90%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -14.08%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.84%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -13.71%E -2.98%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.59%E -3.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.08%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -18.78%E -4.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 11:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-08-09 11:55
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.52%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.90%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.58%1.6%2026-08-09 11:55