Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hammarby IF v BK Hacken

2026-08-09 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 61.45%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -7.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.44%61.41%61.54%62.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5671.43%66.94%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

BK Hacken (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.44%5.42cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.587%
Kelly +0.714%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.37%18.48%18.36%20.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.205.025.005.6023.81%19.93%20.00%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.10%4.97cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -0.756%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.20%20.11%20.10%21.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.494.504.8325.00%22.29%22.22%20.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Hammarby IF (Local) : 61.45% ; BK Hacken (Visiteur) : 18.44% ; Match nul : 20.10%. Pour BK Hacken (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.42. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.60, pour une espérance positive de +3.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +3.29%E +0.587%K +0.714%G +0.023%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 12:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +3.29%E +0.587%K +0.714%G +0.023%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 12:20
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.36%EV -4.14%E -2.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +3.29%E +0.587%K +0.714%G +0.023%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 12:19
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.25%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.45%EV -1.32%E -0.248%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:49
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.25%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.45%EV -1.32%E -0.248%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -2.25%E -0.424%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -2.25%E -0.424%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:20
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.99%EV -3.91%E -0.750%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:04
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.50%EV -2.90%E -0.600%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:20
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:19
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:20
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -4.09%E -0.787%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:19
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -5.94%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:20
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -5.51%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 20:05
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 13:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -11.54%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 17:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 12:20
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -9.67%E -6.58%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -3.50%E -0.729%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 17:04
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.82%E -5.21%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.08%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.56%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.08%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.84%EV -14.56%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.59%EV -6.59%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.39%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -7.52%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 13:24
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -12.39%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.51%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 17:40
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.12%EV -13.97%E -9.98%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.01%EV -12.39%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%EV -17.57%E -4.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-02 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.08%EV -10.28%E -7.04%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.28%EV -16.08%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -14.56%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 17:08
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.39%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.25%EV -16.08%E -3.53%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 13:24
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -11.51%E -7.99%K -26.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -19.58%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.38%EV -10.28%E -7.04%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -18.85%E -4.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -9.53%E -2.12%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 13:24
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.44%EV -10.89%E -7.51%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%EV -22.54%E -5.37%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.04%EV -13.55%E -3.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 13:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 59.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%13.5%2026-08-02 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-08-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-08-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.18%18.2%2026-08-02 17:05